Tesla Tumbles Most in S&P 500 After 3rd Straight Delivery Miss
Tesla increased deliveries by 40% to 1.31 million last year, shy of the 50% average annual growth rate the company has said it expects to achieve over multiple years.
January 03, 2023 at 12:24 PM
4 minute read
Tesla Inc. shares fell more than 10% after the electric carmaker delivered fewer vehicles than expected last quarter despite offering hefty incentives in its biggest markets.
The company said Monday it handed over 405,278 vehicles to customers in the last three months, short of the 420,760 average estimate compiled by Bloomberg. While the total was a quarterly record for Tesla, the company opened two new assembly plants last year and still came up short of its goal to expand by 50%.
It's also the third straight quarter that deliveries have missed estimates. Several analysts cut price targets on the stock Tuesday and JPMorgan Chase & Co. said Tesla might never again reach its multi-year 50% growth sales objective.
"Our base case assumption is that year-on-year growth (while remaining impressive overall) is likely to decline each year from here on out," analyst Ryan Brinkman, who has the equivalent of a sell rating on the shares, wrote in a research note.
After Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk predicted an "epic" end to the year, Tesla cut vehicle prices and production in China, then offered $7,500 discounts in the U.S.. Concerns about rising interest rates, inflation and other economic headwinds — plus alarm over Musk's antics on Twitter, which he now owns — sent Tesla shares plunging 37% in December and 65% last year.
"We believe that Tesla is facing a significant demand problem," Toni Sacconaghi, a Bernstein analyst who also has the equivalent of a sell rating on the stock, wrote in a report Monday. "We believe Tesla will need to either reduce its growth targets (and run its factories below capacity) or sustain and potentially increase recent price cuts globally, pressuring margins."
Tesla increased deliveries by 40% to 1.31 million last year, shy of the 50% average annual growth rate the company has said it expects to achieve over multiple years. Production expanded 47% to 1.37 million.
The company produced 439,701 vehicles in the fourth quarter, exceeding deliveries by 34,423 units. Tesla said that it continued to transition to "a more even regional mix of vehicle builds," which led to another increase in cars in transit at the end of the quarter.
"Tesla sells cars, and the auto industry is slowing down," Gene Munster, managing partner of Loup Ventures, said by phone. "They are still struggling with logistics, and the gap between production and deliveries grew from the last quarter."
Musk said during Tesla's last earnings call that Tesla was trying to "smooth out" deliveries throughout each quarter so that the company no longer has a wave of handovers concentrated at the end of each period. Design chief Franz von Holzhausen nonetheless tweeted that he pitched in at a southern California delivery center on New Year's Eve.
The discounts Tesla offered in the U.S. toward the end of the quarter matched the maximum tax credit that electric vehicles are eligible for under the Inflation Reduction Act that President Joe Biden signed in August. The carmaker suffered a setback in this regard late last month when the Internal Revenue Service published a list of electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles that are eligible for federal tax credits.
Most of Tesla's models won't qualify under current interpretations of the law because they are either too expensive or use batteries that aren't fully compliant. The only vehicle likely to pass muster is the seven-seat version of the Model Y, which means "consumers may have to order and spend an extra $3,000 for a third row they don't want/need on the Model Y to qualify for a tax credit," said Bernstein's Sacconaghi.
Musk took issue with the IRS' eligibility list in several tweets, writing "this is messed up" on Jan. 1 and questioning Monday whether the company was being penalized for making the Model Y too mass-efficient.
Tesla doesn't break out sales by region, but the U.S. and China are its largest markets, and 95% of sales in 2022 were of the Model 3 sedan and Y crossover.
The company makes the Model S, X, 3 and Y at its factory in Fremont, California. Its Shanghai plant produces the Model 3 and Y, and it started delivering Model Ys from its newest plants in Austin and near Berlin in the first half of last year.
While Musk handed over Tesla's first Semi trucks to PepsiCo Inc. in December, the company didn't report any deliveries of the model in its quarterly statement. The carmaker announced separately that it's scheduled an investor day for March 1, where it will discuss long-term expansion plans, a next-generation vehicle platform, capital allocation and other subjects.
Dana Hull reports for Bloomberg News.
NOT FOR REPRINT
© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.
You Might Like
View AllSecurities Claims Against Lilium N.V. for Electric Plane Production Delays Fail to Take Flight, Federal Judge Holds
5 minute readLaw Firms Mentioned
Trending Stories
- 1Biden Has Few Ways to Protect His Environmental Legacy, Say Lawyers, Advocates
- 2UN Treaty Enacting Cybercrime Standards Likely to Face Headwinds in US, Other Countries
- 3Clark Hill Acquires L&E Boutique in Mexico City, Adding 5 Lawyers
- 46th Circuit Judges Spar Over Constitutionality of Ohio’s Ballot Initiative Procedures
- 5On The Move: Polsinelli Adds Health Care Litigator in Nashville, Ex-SEC Enforcer Joins BCLP in Atlanta
Who Got The Work
Michael G. Bongiorno, Andrew Scott Dulberg and Elizabeth E. Driscoll from Wilmer Cutler Pickering Hale and Dorr have stepped in to represent Symbotic Inc., an A.I.-enabled technology platform that focuses on increasing supply chain efficiency, and other defendants in a pending shareholder derivative lawsuit. The case, filed Oct. 2 in Massachusetts District Court by the Brown Law Firm on behalf of Stephen Austen, accuses certain officers and directors of misleading investors in regard to Symbotic's potential for margin growth by failing to disclose that the company was not equipped to timely deploy its systems or manage expenses through project delays. The case, assigned to U.S. District Judge Nathaniel M. Gorton, is 1:24-cv-12522, Austen v. Cohen et al.
Who Got The Work
Edmund Polubinski and Marie Killmond of Davis Polk & Wardwell have entered appearances for data platform software development company MongoDB and other defendants in a pending shareholder derivative lawsuit. The action, filed Oct. 7 in New York Southern District Court by the Brown Law Firm, accuses the company's directors and/or officers of falsely expressing confidence in the company’s restructuring of its sales incentive plan and downplaying the severity of decreases in its upfront commitments. The case is 1:24-cv-07594, Roy v. Ittycheria et al.
Who Got The Work
Amy O. Bruchs and Kurt F. Ellison of Michael Best & Friedrich have entered appearances for Epic Systems Corp. in a pending employment discrimination lawsuit. The suit was filed Sept. 7 in Wisconsin Western District Court by Levine Eisberner LLC and Siri & Glimstad on behalf of a project manager who claims that he was wrongfully terminated after applying for a religious exemption to the defendant's COVID-19 vaccine mandate. The case, assigned to U.S. Magistrate Judge Anita Marie Boor, is 3:24-cv-00630, Secker, Nathan v. Epic Systems Corporation.
Who Got The Work
David X. Sullivan, Thomas J. Finn and Gregory A. Hall from McCarter & English have entered appearances for Sunrun Installation Services in a pending civil rights lawsuit. The complaint was filed Sept. 4 in Connecticut District Court by attorney Robert M. Berke on behalf of former employee George Edward Steins, who was arrested and charged with employing an unregistered home improvement salesperson. The complaint alleges that had Sunrun informed the Connecticut Department of Consumer Protection that the plaintiff's employment had ended in 2017 and that he no longer held Sunrun's home improvement contractor license, he would not have been hit with charges, which were dismissed in May 2024. The case, assigned to U.S. District Judge Jeffrey A. Meyer, is 3:24-cv-01423, Steins v. Sunrun, Inc. et al.
Who Got The Work
Greenberg Traurig shareholder Joshua L. Raskin has entered an appearance for boohoo.com UK Ltd. in a pending patent infringement lawsuit. The suit, filed Sept. 3 in Texas Eastern District Court by Rozier Hardt McDonough on behalf of Alto Dynamics, asserts five patents related to an online shopping platform. The case, assigned to U.S. District Judge Rodney Gilstrap, is 2:24-cv-00719, Alto Dynamics, LLC v. boohoo.com UK Limited.
Featured Firms
Law Offices of Gary Martin Hays & Associates, P.C.
(470) 294-1674
Law Offices of Mark E. Salomone
(857) 444-6468
Smith & Hassler
(713) 739-1250