I long have believed that the best predictor of whether the U.S. Supreme Court finds a violation of the Fourth Amendment is whether the justices could imagine it happening to them. For example, the Supreme Court upheld drug-testing requirements in every case until it considered a Georgia law that required that high-level government officials be subjected to it. The two Fourth Amendment decisions this term, U.S. v. Jones and Florence v. Board of Chosen Freeholders of Burlington County , powerfully illustrate that the justices only seem to care if it could happen to them.

In Jones , the Supreme Court considered whether the police placing a GPS device on a person’s car and tracking its movements was a violation of the Fourth Amendment when there was not a warrant authorizing this. I was confident in predicting the outcome when a justice at oral argument asked the government lawyer whether the government’s position meant that a police officer could put a GPS device on a justice’s car and track its movements. Another justice asked if it meant that a police officer could slip a GPS device into his pocket without a warrant.

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