David A. Carrillo, left, and Brandon V. Stracener, right, of the California Constitution Center at Berkeley Law. Courtesy photos Both Parties Should Fear the Recall
"Democrats chagrined by losing the governorship might think that at least 38 days remain for Gov. Newsom to make an orderly exit and close some doors, for example by filling every vacant state judicial position. But a faster-than-expected certification might prevent that, forcing Newsom out in just a week or so and likely foreclosing many opportunities in the rush," said David A. Carrillo and Brandon V. Stracener of the California Constitution Center.
August 17, 2021 at 04:34 PM
7 minute read
State and Local GovernmentSome commentators are expecting a major shift in California's direction if Gov. Gavin Newsom is recalled. That's possible; when Arnold Schwarzenegger replaced Gray Davis there was some bipartisanship and some resulting policy shifts. But in 2003 Republicans and Democrats were closely matched, at 35.3% and 43.6% of registered voters respectively; in 2021 Democratic voters are 46.2%—nearly double the 24.1% Republican voters.
Along with some other facts of California life, that shift suggests a more complex set of possible scenarios than a reductive California-turns-red-or-stays-blue narrative. And that presents grave risks for both Democrats and Republicans in any recall outcome.
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